Rick Baker Thought Posts
Left Menu Space Holder

About the author

Name of author Rick Baker, P.Eng.

E-mail me Send mail
Follow me LinkedIn Twitter

Search

Calendar

<<  November 2024  >>
MoTuWeThFrSaSu
28293031123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
2526272829301
2345678

View posts in large calendar

Recent Comments

Comment RSS

Some thoughts on‘Good to Great’, ‘The Tipping Point’, and Business Start-Up or TurnAhead

by Rick Baker
On Mar 24, 2008

If a good business idea exists and the right people to implement it are in place then there is a chance to attract money, create and build a successful business.

The good idea part and the having the right people part were captured by Jim Collins in ‘Good to Great’…‘Hedgehogs’ and ‘Buses’. Jim Collins used the flywheel metaphor to capture the thought - success builds momentum as people push together.

Malcolm Gladwell believes business success can achieve tipping points, where epidemic-like growth can occur. Three ingredients are required: Mavens, Connectors, and Salespeople.

Some of our thinking about how to succeed at business start-up or business TurnAhead borrows thoughts from these two authors.

How does this play out?

How might one borrow thoughts from ‘Good to Great’ and ‘The Tipping Point’ then go about building a successful start-up business or doing a business TurnAhead?

Perhaps, the answer is clearer when we split the business activity into 3 separate components…

Strategy
People
Action

Strategy

To use Jim Collins’ Hedgehog Concept, we first need a business idea. It has to be an idea people can get passionate about. If the ambition is to grow a large/great business then people need to think big, like – “What can we do better than anyone else in the world?”   But, whether large/great/best-in-the-world or not…how does one go about starting that business? Let’s assume we agree a good first step is to establish the Hedgehog Concept for the business…ie, clearly establish:

 

That sets the framework for the business – it is the overall strategy for the business. The overall strategy must be set and done. In other words, there can be no second-guessing of the Hedgehog.

With the Hedgehog done, what other strategic work should a business do?

The Hedgehog establishes the strategic footings… what about the strategic foundation walls? What do those next-level strategic supports look like? How much? How much detail?

What are the right next-level strategic questions?

The answer: we need to begin by thinking about the People.

Using the Collins’ metaphors:
  • Does the business have the right people on the bus?
  • Are those people pushing the flywheel as required

People

Business start-up or TurnAhead will be relatively fast-and-easy if the business in question has perfectly established its Hedgehog and filled its bus with perfect people…the flywheel will spin ever faster…and faster and faster, maybe even to tipping-point speed.

But, what if the Hedgehog is set, the people are on the bus, and the flywheel doesn’t seem to be spinning and accelerating as quickly as it should be?

What is wrong?

What’s the problem?
  • Is it a Strategic weakness?
  • Is it People problems?
  • Is it something else?
  • Is it some combination of the above?

Let’s assume an audit proves the strategy is sound…let’s assume the Hedgehog is a good one.

If the ideas are sound then the next consideration is the people. Using Collins’ words – “Are the right people on the bus?”

***

Embedded in all this, the business ideas/strategies are captured before and at statements and pictures called the Hedgehog. Those ideas are the spark of the business.  The spark inspires passion, passion-in-people…that’s part of the Hedgehog. The spark must inspire passion in a sufficient amount of people. When enough people are inspired by individual or shared passion those people will act and they will act in ways that align with the Hedgehog, they will start the flywheel spinning…in other words, their combined action will cause the company to achieve its desired goals. When that’s happening, Collins would describe it as – “The right people are on the bus!”

***

But, how would a business go about finding then putting the right people on the bus?

Or, how would a business go about making people changes if it becomes evident the right people are not on the bus?

Nobody will argue - People are the critical aspect of success.

Gladwell talked about 3 types of people who seem to be present when there is a tipping:
  • Mavens: technical specialists who seem to love to both know and talk about the gory details
  • Connectors: people-persons who introduce unrelated people who then do commerce together
  • Salespeople: naturally charismatic people who persuade other people with ease

As a business seeks people for its bus, or as a business goes about trying to make people changes when it appears the seats of the bus are not properly filled, perhaps the three people-categories above can be of help.

If I understand Gladwell accurately, Mavens, Connectors, and Salespeople stand out as noticeably different from other people. They possess qualities that make them important to businesses that aspire to rapid and/or large growth. If a business employs these 3 types of people then the chances for success and even tipping increase. Implicit in this, I am assuming the people embrace the business’ Hedgehog.

Success Formula:
Collins’ Hedgehog + Gladwell’s (Mavens, Connectors & Salespeople) = Business Success

 

In words:
If a business has an accurately-thought-out Hedgehog and employs enough Mavens, Connectors, and Salespeople then the business will achieve business success.

***

To ensure the right people are on the bus, the qualities of Mavens, Connectors, and Salespeople should be understood and care should be taken during recruiting to make sure the people possess these qualities.

Obviously, other skills and traits will be required to perform the specific functions of the specific business…these could be described as Industry-Specific technical skills and traits. These people skills and people traits will vary from business to business. These skills and traits can cover a broad spectrum…from super-technical speciality to general business acumen.

What if the business does not employ Mavens, Connectors, and Salespeople…can it still succeed?

It seems to me:
  • A business cannot achieve quick or large success if it does not have more than one talented salesperson on the bus. The salespeople do not necessarily have to be as naturally-gifted and impressive as those described by Gladwell, however, it is tough to argue that Salespeople of that calibre will both hasten and expand business success.
  • A business may be able to succeed without Mavens and Connectors on the bus, however, people on the bus must at least know how to connect with Mavens and Connectors. I would describe these people who know how to connect as Ally Seekers.

Ally Seekers

Are Ally Seekers salespeople like Gladwell describes Salespeople?
  • Perhaps.
  • While they may or may not be Salespeople, Ally Seekers must possess a strong desire and some skill at seeking out other people who can ‘fill the commercial gaps’. Ally Seekers do not need to be naturally charismatic…as in born salespeople. Ally Seekers do not need to be persuasive…ie, persuasion being the key skill of the salesperson. Ally Seekers need to have pleasant-enough personalities and they need to believe people [only people] get things done. For example, if the business is lacking salespeople then that business’ Ally Seekers would have their antennae out – looking for salespeople.
  • While Ally Seekers do not have to be Gladwell-described Salespeople, they can be Gladwell-described Salespeople. Salespeople would make excellent Ally Seekers.
  • Ally Seekers may become very skilled at making connections and that is a key aspect of gaining trust and a network of contacts. All of this could cause Ally Seekers to want to develop skills at sales. So, Ally Seekers could be Salespeople-in-training.
Are Ally Seekers technical experts like Mavens?
  • Likely, no.
  • Ally Seekers do not have to possess the technical or detailed knowledge as Mavens do. Ally Seekers need to know how to find [connect with] Mavens. With the easy-availability of information, an Ally Seeker could prepare Maven-seeking plans then sit at a desk most of the day scouring the Internet…seeking Mavens.
  • Over time, Ally Seekers may become well known. They may become well known for specific technical expertise and they may be thrilled to possess detailed information. They may become Mavens.
Are Ally Seekers true Connectors?
  • No.
  • If I understand Gladwell correctly, Connectors know huge numbers of people…like a multiple of 10 times what average people know. Gladwell’s Connectors strike me as shotgunners who know where their pellets hit so they can sharpshoot at will. Or, Connectors are connectors who have numerous rifles and they are skilled at shooting all of them at a variety of different targets…so, when someone calls them they pick the right rifle and use it to connect with the desired target. Whereas, Ally Seekers need to be skilled at shooting certain guns at certain targets.
  • Ally Seekers must be proactive, whereas, it seems Gladwell’s Connectors do not…people come to Gladwell’s Connectors because people know they are connectors by reputation. Conversely, Ally Seekers may have little or no incoming interactions.
  • It is not clear how Gladwell’s Connectors became the Connectors they are. Clearly, they are much more gregarious than the average person. If an Ally Seeker sincerely wants to be a champion of the Ally-Seeking role then certainly, over time, an Ally Seeker has the opportunity to build a large network of contacts. Ally Seekers may be Connectors-in-training.

***

  Collins’ Hedgehog
+
Gladwell’s (Mavens, Connectors & Salespeople)
+
Ally Seekers     
=
Business Success

***

The bottom line is: Ally Seekers can fill the gaps where Mavens, Connectors, and Salespeople are lacking.

***

Tags:

Entrepreneur Thinking

Communication has been a lively topic lately

by Rick Baker
On Mar 8, 2008
I've attended presentations on the topic and the matter is always a major consideration in the workplace. When the topic is communication, two thoughts keep coming to mind. The first is Steven Covey's Habit #5: “Seek First to Understand Then to be Understood” (“Seek First…”). The second is “What's In It For Me?(WIIFM?).

I don't know who coined the WIIFM? saying and its philosophy, however, I do know I have heard numerous business consultants instruct about it for several years. In summary, their instruction has been: when you deal with people don't lose track of the fact those people will always be thinking – “What's In It For Me?” I first heard the WIIFM? saying and its philosophy as a piece of Sales Instruction…ie, it was presented as part of a sales training course. The sales-training messages were: (1) when dealing with potential or existing customers the Salesperson must understand and never forget those people are always thinking "WIIFM?" and (2) in order to increase sales success the Salesperson must adjust his/her behaviour in order to address the customers WIIFM?.

 

At the surface, that logic could be accepted.
  • The customer needs a reason to purchase.
  • By asking himself/herself WIIFM?, the customer justifies a decision, ‘to buy or not to buy’.
  • If the Salesperson is skilled at adjusting his/her behaviour in a pre-planned way then that could increase the likelihood of sales success.

On the other hand, those same sales consultants insisted emotions play a large role when buyers buy.

So, perhaps there were two psychological conclusions: 

  1. buyers employ logical thought (WIIFM?) as they make purchasing decisions and
  2. buyers' emotions often (or is it always?) influence their purchasing decisions.

I'm suspecting the combination of these two psychological conclusions spawned the sales doctrine that can be summed up as ‘Find the Buyer's Pain and Make That Pain Go Away’ 

Put another way, Salespeople were instructed to become diagnosticians, something like Doctors...Salespeople were told to diagnose the customer’s pain and prescribe the remedy. And, of course, that would lead to making the sale. We were instructed, however, the Salesperson's role differed from that of the Doctor because the Doctor used logic and precedent to do the diagnosis of an already-existing pain while the Salesperson had to figure out how to cause the customer to feel the pain.

I mean – the sales training taught us: 

  • the Salesperson had to guide communication in a manner that would induce the customer to truly experience emotional pain,
  • the customer would first gain awareness of the nature of that pain and then come to realize the remedy for that pain,
  • that remedy, of course, would be the service or product of the Salesperson, and
  • with one having induced the pain and the other having felt it and enjoyed its remedy, and with one having done the sale and the other having done the purchase, the seller and the buyer would have concluded a successful business-communication experience. 

That’s the sort of sales training that I heard when I first heard the WIIFM? philosophy.

Later, the use of WIIFM? instruction became more widespread. We were told it didn't just apply to customers, it applied to everyone in our workplace...indeed, some instructed us that it applied to all interpersonal relationships. Of specific concern, it applied to communication in the office and more-specifically it applied when bosses communicated with employees. Most recently, I've heard it applied in an even-more-specific way...we must be extra careful to make sure we don't lose track of WIIFM? when we deal with ‘Gen Y’ or are they ‘Millennial’ employees. (Whatever the right terminology is, I am referring to our youngest employees.)  

Covey’s Seek First to Understand Then to be Understood. This is certainly an insightful instruction. It is tremendous in theory but sometimes it can be tough to do in practice. For most of us the practice is tough because we have lots of great ideas we want to share with others. And, on top of that, sometimes we forget the value of listening. Listening is one of those good habits so it is easy to break. Regardless, for most communication it makes sense to try to understand the other person before you expect them to try to understand you.

If everyone tried to follow this Steven Covey Habit #5 then business communication would improve. That is - in general, business communication would improve. There would be situations where communication would not improve. In fact, in some situations the value of the communication could be neutered. At the risk of being ridiculous…consider the situation where the employee is running through the office screaming "FIRE!!!". Coworkers and even the boss might find the best course is to simply act by making a prompt exit from the building. One could argue that isn't just a ridiculous example, it doesn't contravene "Seek First..." because everyone would immediately understand what "FIRE!!!" means so no seeking of understanding would be required. On the other hand, the boss might be really busy at the time and he/she may be tempted to stand some ground and make sure the employee who is yelling “FIRE!!!” has a good reason for such an interruption. Regardless, each of us can come up with fair-and-reasonable examples of business situations where "Seek First..." is not the best way.  

Or, maybe that's not true? While I've heard many business consultants instruct about "Seek First...", about WIIFM?, and about both I've never heard one of them instruct if or when these ‘rules’ can be or should be broken.

Perhaps it goes without saying?  

Perhaps the instructors assume we know "Seek First..." and WIIFM? are guides and they expect people will use common sense to judge when these guides can be or should be set aside? But, I've never heard any instructor make that sort of comment. In fact, every time I've heard it taught, WIIFM? has been presented as if it is a hard-and-fast fact of life. The instruction seems to be: when we deal with people we must always recognize the other person is using What's In It For Me? as the measuring stick that dictates his/her interest in and reaction to what we are saying.

The WIIFM? philosophy provokes thought and questions.  

  • If WIIFM? prevails then how does an organization build teamwork?
  • If WIIFM? prevails then how should bosses communicate with the people who report to them?
  • If WIIFM? prevails then to what extent must the boss temper his/her personal WIIFM? needs in order to communicate successfully amidst the array of WIIFM? needs of his/her subordinates?  

Seek First to Understand Then to be Understood” and “What's In It For Me?” are interesting pieces of advice.

It seems to me "Seek First..." is a Habit that serves well in many communication situations. However, for business communication it must have some limitations.  

It seems to me the advice on "What's In It For Me?" is at least a bit out of control. One should not ignore the fact other people have needs. However, that's but one facet. Needs are relative. That's another facet and, in business, that facet will conflict with the philosophy and instructions of WIIFM?.

Twenty-five years ago, a boss taught me a variation of the “Golden Rule”...it was – “He Who Carries The Gold Makes The Rules”. Not having heard any advice on WIIFM?, I accepted that Golden Rule and went about trying to be the best subordinate I could be. Not having heard any advice on "Seek First...", I went about trying to understand my boss' requests...again, so I could be the best subordinate I could be.  

Perhaps it goes without saying, but I will say it anyhow...for most of us, the “Rules” we are taught will tend to influence our behaviour.

The WIIFM? approach to communication is a piece of advice that is grounded on a reasonable starting point. Other peoples’ needs are important. That grounding would be a much more useful starting point if it yielded philosophy that could be embraced as a two-way street. If both parties accepted they must adjust their communication to accommodate the other person's WIIFM? then the practice of the philosophy of WIIFM? might be able to generate much more communication value. However, it seems deeper exploration will show us just how oxymoronic the WIIFM? philosophy is.  

The way I am looking at it, the WIIFM? philosophy either:

  • works as a one-way street where one person must drive the car in the direction dictated by the other person or
  • fails to work as a two-way street because both drivers will always struggle to determine which direction they should point their car.

The One-Way WIIFM? Street: 

The way I've heard it taught, the WIIFM? philosophy works as a one-way street. The Salesperson is taught to adjust his/her behaviour to address the WIIFM? needs of the customer. And, the boss is taught to adjust his/her behaviour to address the WIIFM? needs of the subordinate. While nobody has clarified it, the one-way street starts with the Salesperson going through a personal what-are-my-needs exercise...”What's in it for me if I deal with this customer?” Then, the Salesperson must apply the WIIFM? philosophy during communication with the customer. Similarly, the boss' one-way street starts with his/her personal needs then moves to the subordinate's WIIFM?. Perhaps bosses and Salespeople will achieve greater success by traveling down these One-Way WIIFM? Streets?

The Two-Way WIIFM? Street: 

I have never heard an instructor or a consultant provide WIIFM? advice to both Salespeople and buyers or to both bosses and subordinates. I would be very interested to know if any buyers have received WIIFM? indoctrination…ie, have any buyers been told to make sure they consider ‘what's in it for the Salesperson?’ and ‘how can I adjust my behaviour to address the needs of the Salesperson?’ Also, I'd be interested to know if any consultants advise both subordinates and bosses, together, on how to employ the WIIFM? philosophy for communication. Under that joint education, subordinates would be taught to back their communication with thinking like ‘what's in it for my boss?’ and ‘how can I adjust my behaviour to address the needs of my boss?’

While I have serious doubts, for the moment let's assume the Two-Way WIIFM? Street can happen. Let’s assume both customers and Salespeople can learn how to employ the WIIFM? philosophy…attending to one another's needs. And, let’s assume subordinates and bosses can do the same thing. Every person seeks to understand the other and to adjust behaviour accordingly to ensure the needs of the other are addressed. At the surface, maybe that sounds reasonable? Maybe that sounds like a great way to go about communication? 

I don't think we need to spend too much time thinking about how good (or bad) this would be in practice. It is flawed at theory, well before practice. In fact, it seems the flaws of the Two-Way WIIFM? Street illustrate what could be fatal flaws in the construct of the WIIFM? philosophy.

Here are some steps in logic:

  • If WIIFM? generates better communication when one party in the communication employs it then surely even better communication will happen if it is embraced by both parties in the communication.
  • But, as stated in its name the foundation of the WIIFM? philosophy is - "What's in it for me?".
  • With that in mind we must conclude each of us will always start by thinking - "What's in it for me?". We will not start by thinking – “What’s in it for the other person?”. We will start by thinking – “What’s in it for me?” and with that established we will move to “What do I need to do to satisfy the WIIFM? needs of the other person?
  • Having gone through those two thinking steps we will then adjust our behaviour to accommodate the needs of the other…I would alter my behaviour to satisfy what I believe is your need while, at the same time, you would alter your behaviour to satisfy what you believe is my need.
  • Each of us would be playing a communication charade on the other while each of us would in fact only be truly motivated to satisfy our own needs.
  • Our tandem, self-imposed behaviour changes would simply be means to personal ends.

Each of us must be solely motivated to satisfy our own needs or nobody would have come up with this WIIFM? thinking in the first place.  

If that isn't true then it is logical to conclude the creators of the WIIFM? philosophy feel it only applies to one person in the communication. This appears to be the fact. If a Salesperson is communicating then the WIIFM? philosophy only applies to the customer. If a boss is communicating then the WIIFM? philosophy only applies to the subordinate.

WIIFM? is a One-Way Street communication philosophy. That street has a set direction. When the philosophy is applied it flows from the person who wants to cause change to the person who must do something in order to effect that change. 

Each of us in business must be motivated by our own needs. And, our business behaviour, whether natural/involuntary or constructed/thought-driven, is done to satisfy our own needs. If the teachers of WIIFM? philosophy don't agree with this then it seems to me their logic is flawed.

Or worse, they are promoting a curious form of caste-thinking, which works something like this: 

  • Salespeople are purer than customers. [Or, if it is preferred – Salespeople want to cause change while customer-buyers do not.]
  • Since they are purer, the behaviour of Salespeople is not driven by personal needs. Rather, Salespeople are solely motivated by the WIIFM? needs of their customers.
  • Salespeople are able to construct communication in a manner that enables them to determine customers’ needs…I mean deep-rooted emotional needs.
  • In order to satisfy those customers’ WIIFM? needs, the Salespeople perform behaviour specially constructed to guide the communication process in a manner that ends up satisfying the needs of their customers.

Similarly, bosses are purer than subordinates. Subordinates are stuck at WIIFM? while their bosses are solely trying to help them get all that subordinate WIIFM? need satisfied.  

No reasonable person will accept a philosophy that is based on caste-thinking as described above. So, it appears the foundation of the philosophy of WIIFM? is flawed. The starting point is accurate: people are motivated to satisfy their own needs and that motivation brings ‘what's in it for me?’ into every business communication. But, actually, to be accurate, it brings at least two separate pieces of ‘what's in it for me?’ thinking into each business communication...that is, one piece for each person involved in the communication.

Recognizing caste-thinking must not be behind the WIIFM? philosophy, it is highly unlikely the One-Way Street teachings will yield communication success. That is true because in the absence of caste-grounding the parties to a conversation will always be at odds. One party in the communication will be aware of his/her own needs and will adjust his/her behaviour to address his/her perception of the needs of the other person while that other person will be working to serve only his/her personal interests. Since no caste differences exist each party will be starting from the same place: that is – “My needs are most important to me”. Each party will have a more-or-less similar ability to perceive the needs of the other. That is, each person will have equal opportunity to employ the WIIFM? philosophy. However, only one will be doing it. At least, one person will be thinking only one person is doing it…that person being the one who received WIIFM? communication training. That person, apparently, will be engaging in the communication believing the WIIFM? training is providing him/her a leg up. Or, that person will be thinking – “My self-adjusted behaviour changes will enable me to accomplish my goals…and, yes, I believe the other party in the communication will not be adjusting his/her behaviour as I am doing”.

Even if it isn’t fatally flawed, I don’t think this What’s In It For Me? philosophy has much value.

Steven Covey provided better advice when he stated "Habit #5: Seek First To Understand Then To Be Understood".

Certainly, there will be times in business where this Habit #5 cannot be employed. In certain situations, bosses will have to provide instruction without seeking input or consensus from subordinates. We in business ought to be able to have some faith in bosses' good judgment. In other situations, it will be impractical or unacceptable to seek understanding of others. Some needs are personal and personal territory should be respected. And, time will be a factor. 

The 5th Covey Habit is good advice.  

Seek First To Understand Then To Be Understood is good advice because it:

  • recognizes every person has needs, so it enables us to work on a two-way street.
  • works on a one-way street. Even if one person in the communication refuses to follow or fail at performance of the 5th Habit, the communication will still have some chance of succeeding.
  • is balanced and that is a fair way to handle communication. It is fair to place a similar burden on each person in the communication.
  • works for subordinates as well as it works for bosses. There is no caste-thinking, no hierarchical lines separating who must give from who must receive.
  • works for customers as well as it works for salespeople. There is no caste-thinking, no lines separating who must give from who must receive.
  • promotes respect for others, without ignoring respect for self.
  • promotes listening. People like receiving that from others.
  • builds Value into communication and that in turn builds Value into business.

Tags:

Change: Creating Positive Change | Communication: Improving Communication

Some Thoughts on Energy & Our Economy

by Rick Baker
On Feb 23, 2008

Several very bright folks are talking about the worsening North American economic situation. Some say, they have read and they believe the U.S. is on the verge of the worst market correction since the Crash of '29. Certainly, when it happens, that U.S. tidal wave will leave a crushed Canadian economy in its wake.

Apparently, the U.S. purchasing managers have a most-bleak view of the future. Surveys apparently support a 'deep-depression outlook'. And, what makes these conversations more stressed out - apparently those U.S. purchasing managers are reliable forecasters, getting it right 90-plus percent of the time.

Could that be true? Could self-fulfilling prophecies or other forces be at play, driving us toward a capital-D, economic Depression?

Is that fundamental purchasing-manager mindset about to take hold and lead technical trading into a downward spiral?

Perhaps.

One thought prevails, the U.S. is at war.

The economic impact of the war may be much broader than is readily apparent.

It seems the energy-commodity futures market provides an example to support that thinking. Over the last few years, haven't we witnessed a clear de-linking of (the pricing of) the hydrocarbon commodities, crude oil and natural gas? Do these markets make any sense from a fundamental or technical perspective? Many claim understanding, however, it seems old rules are not reliable guides or price predictors for calling the market.

Are those purchasing managers, with their bearish-economy thinking, shorting the hydrocarbon slate? If we were to look at the personal portfolios of all those purchasing managers would we discover they are shorting futures, stocks or stock market indices? Would we find they are about to get rich as their employers get whipped and their country's economy caves into the worst of Depressions? If those purchasing managers are in fact reliable indicators [truly prophetic] then will they manage their own money so they gain personal wealth as North America rides down into economic Depression?

If so then will they make what might appear to be the safest of bets, shorting the hydrocarbon futures?

Observers might look at the key U.S. hydrocarbon futures - crude oil and natural gas - and conclude: one is a global commodity with U.S. influences while the other is a U.S. commodity with global influences. One relies to a material degree on masses of sea-faring cargoes while the other has this at the margin. Meanwhile, those of us who live too far from the oceans and seas tend to ignore the power of ships of commerce.

So, if they agree with that thinking then will the purchasing managers simply short natural gas futures?

Of course, speculation skews the balance of energy-market thinking and activity.  Regardless, if one is convinced a capital-D Depression is on the visible horizon then the hedge funds and even the rogue traders will yield to it, sooner rather than later.

On the other hand...

For at least 2 years many have said so emphatically, “The hydrocarbon bull will soon be humbled by the realities of the U.S. economy”. Adamant statements supporting this thinking have been presented as recently as last week.

It wasn't all that many years ago many energy-market experts said the U.S. economy simply could not withstand $30 Crude for any period of time. Then, the argument was extended to $50 crude. Then, more…much more. 

Many said, “Sure, there's lead and there's lag so the cause and effect cycle might get clouded”. “Regardless”, they said, “sooner, definitely sooner rather than later, the slipping U.S. economy and those laws of supply and demand will bring that Crude price back to realistic, market-supported levels”.

But that did not happen. Instead, we saw crude oil break resistance at $30, $40, $50, $60, $70, $80, $90...etc.

We have not seen the humbling of the hydrocarbon slate.

Now, it is true the slipping U.S. currency value is a tempering factor. For Canadians, $100 (USD) crude oil just doesn't cost what $100 U.S. crude oil used to cost....and that applies even if we limit our thinking to months, not years.

$50 crude oil versus $100 crude oil or even $150 crude oil...for the North American users of these fuels - does price matter anyhow?

The near-term answer is easy enough. Of course, when we get right down to it, it doesn't matter if crude oil is $50/bbl or $100/bbl or $150/bbl. And, it doesn't matter if natural gas is trading at $7/MMBtu, $12/MMBtu or $17/MMBtu.

Some will continue to say those last comments are silly. Those comments probably violate some if not most economic rules. Nonetheless, for almost all real-life oil & gas energy applications in North America the comments are true. Our physical markets have shown a curious ability to absorb price shocks (almost without even blinking).
 
Consider Eastern Canada. What effect can Eastern Canadian end users of hydrocarbon fuels exert on physical-market pricing let alone North American financial-market pricing? That question is intended to trigger budget-reality checks and alternative thinking rather than resignation to depressing big-picture facts.

Put another way, what purchase adjustments have Eastern Canadian users of hydrocarbon fuels made during the last couple of years? The answer speaks loudly. Overall, our consumption is unaffected by price. We use what we use and that's about as simple as it gets.

Of course, that does not apply to the Eastern Canadian industrial users who have gone or will soon go out of business.

Perhaps we can agree on two things: there is a need for better risk-management practice and there is a need for better energy-consumption practice.

Tags:

Beyond Business

Networking: More Thoughts About the Starting Point – Why?

by Rick Baker
On Feb 11, 2008
How can business people ensure networking experiences are most productive? We can optimize networking by understanding:
  1. Our Own Networking Goals
  2. Other People’s Networking Goals

Understanding Our Own Networking Goals
As networking opportunities arise, test your goals against the situations. When your goals are incompatible with the situation, adjust your goal, then your behaviour. For example, many tout the 30-Second Elevator Commercial. Such a tactic might work at events such as trade fairs or business-after-hours sessions. However, I have yet to hear anyone confirm that the pitch actually worked in an elevator. Rather than placing emphasis on such ploys, make sure you have a kit of communication tools. From your kit, pick the right networking tool for the specific networking job.

Understanding Other People’s Networking Goals
It is best to keep it simple. That can be done two ways. We can listen to the other person. If we listen well then the other person will sooner or later make their networking motives clear. There is no point trying to sell when the other person wants to learn about your family tree. There is no point seeking family-tree details when the other person is in the middle of a sales spiel. Assess. Adjust accordingly. Another simple approach is to ask the other person questions, “What do you enjoy most at these events?” If the event is titled a networking event then ask, “What does networking mean to you?”

Closing Thoughts:

  • When in doubt about networking – listen.
  • If you truly care about other people – ask questions.
  • If you know the person is a Connector – don’t be shy, be direct.

Tags:

Networking: The Joys of Connection

Networking: Some Thoughts About The Starting Point - Why?

by Rick Baker
On Feb 3, 2008

Most business people would agree networking can be defined as 'two parties sharing information'. But in many cases, that broadly-defined starting point is our only point of agreement. People may agree on that definition while they disagree on why they are networking. If two people attempting to network do not share the same motives then their networking efforts can cause frustration and wasted time.

Why do we network?

Overall, we network to share information. But... 'Why?'

  1. Do we desire to: Give information? Receive it? Both?
  2. Do we expect commercial/business results? If so, when?

Our motives for networking dictate our behaviour during networking. And, our motives for networking cover a broad spectrum.

At one extreme, we have people who expect networking to provide immediate commercial results. Using Malcolm Gladwell's 'model', such a networker might seek out a Connector and ask a blunt question like, “Can you connect me to someone who wants to buy my widgets?” If I understand Malcolm Gladwell accurately then such an approach can work, because Connectors are special folks who get their kicks making these connections.

Many networkers would be shocked and annoyed by a direct commercial assault such as the one just described. For these people, networking is not the place for direct, commercial activity. It is not the place for sales spiels. Rather, they see networking as a way to get to know people by listening and learning… building enduring relationships. For others, networking – even if it is done at a business-networking event – must never be commercial. Their only networking goal is to learn personal information, first-hand.

Closing Thought: To maximize the value of networking, we need to understand the 'Why?' behind the networking... some more thoughts at next issue.

Tags:

Networking: The Joys of Connection

Copyright © 2012. W.F.C (Rick) Baker. All Rights Reserved.