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The legacy of post-recession fears

by Rick Baker
On Sep 6, 2016

In many areas the post-recession fears have not subsided. Businesses are still dragging payments, for inordinately long periods. Businesses are still refraining from making purchases, even when the ROI on those purchases are quite attractive. Many businesses are hesitant to fund innovations and, as a consequence, they are slipping farther behind the pace of automation in their business sector.

It looks like lots of baby boomers are attempting to recover the financial losses they experienced during the recession of 2008/9 and the Canadian dollar volatility that followed that recession. The recession itself took money out of baby boomers' pockets. The rapid decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar took more money out of some baby boomers' pockets. And the economic challenges during the last year have exacerbated these problems. 

When you put it all together many baby boomers are reluctant to spend money on their businesses at this point in time. 

I suppose this is no surprise to economists. Likely, in every generation of business, the leading generation of business people hits a point when it becomes less confident and less courageous. When that happens expenditures shrink. And protectionism, around personal wealth, sets in. 

Regardless, it certainly is troubling to watch the value of baby boomers’ businesses shrink…year after year.

Perhaps, it is time to consider better options…small changes for the better.

What legacy do you want to leave?

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Abundance | Thinking as in Think and Grow Rich

Comments (1) -

John Rose
9/6/2016 10:38:35 AM #

I have been giving this considerable thought over the years, at least since the Great Recession.  I can recall at family events my grandparents, themselves children of the Great Depression, discussing the impact this economic event had on their psyche.  There is no question that this most modern "cataclysm" has had a severe impact on business, and personal wealth.  I believe I have read that companies on average hold more cash on hand than before, and take fewer risks, which ultimately results in fewer losses, but more importantly, less growth.  Which in of itself manifests to become continued risk aversion.  

With ROI's on many investments touching new lows (on average), businesses leaders are reticent to make investments to earn 4% before tax gains, and risk the capital and restricted liquidity to do so.  In some business realms you would need to execute perfectly to even achieve these very modest (by comparison) gains over time, which we all know in business is not an easy feat.  So why risk it?  Put the cash in a mattress, and wait for the rainy day.  Meanwhile, productivity, growth and investment wins are muted.

Government also has a role here.  To encourage capital to chase opportunity.  However, it appears we are siding instead on the increase of money supply and driving the public spend, to a very neutered effect.

In the end, sociologists will win the day, by writing about how this period of time wasn't just a small adjustment, but probably generational and seismic in scale.  

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